NFL Best Bets For Week 18

Jan 6, 2024

Well, everyone we have reached the end of the line for the 2023 season, we end with a 33-17 record on betting which is a 66% clip. My best season to date.

We end with a team who blew it two weeks ago. Still, we are going back to them again, why you may ask because their coach Mike Vrabel has a good chance of getting fired on Black Monday and Jacksonville’s only win as of late was a 26-0 blowout win versus Carolina who are covered by Josh this Sunday but are an NFL worst 2-14 on the year. Now it is a win and in for Jacksonville but per Odd Shark, they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against Tennessee. Let the dogs bark on week 18 and take Tennessee at +3.5.

Next, we go up to Foxborough in a true dumpster diving bowl of a football game with my beloved Patriots taking on the New York Jets. Now both teams are 4-12 and 6-10 respectively. Now this may be Bill Belichick’s last legendary game in Foxborough and the last time the Patriots lost to the Jets was December 27, 2015, and the Patriots can and I think will make it 16 in a row this Sunday as coach Belichick goes out on top, especially against Trevor Siemian. Plus our friends at Odd Shark have provided us with this tidbit. New England are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against NY Jets. The December 27, 2015 loss was in MetLife and the last time the Jets won in the regular season at Gillette Stadium was on November 13, 2008, more than 15 years ago if it ain’t broke don’t fix it, Patriots ML for my mental sanity.

We end in Viva Las Vegas as the Raiders host the Broncos in another nothing bowl game but there is a hidden easter egg that helped us out in our very first week of the NFL season and that bet while different this time is Raiders again but in week 1 they covered as a +4.5 underdog and in this game, they are a -3 favourite. Now Denver is 2-4-1 against the spread on the road this year and Vegas is 5-2-1 at home against the spread this season. Now Oddshark has provided some more wonderful data. Like, Las Vegas are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games and Las Vegas are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Denver. Hence the final play to the 2023 NFL season parlay is Raiders -3.

DraftKings took care of us last weekend and we are going back there this weekend. They have given us a smooth +565 odds on this parlay which has been played $14.09 to hopefully win $93.73. Happy Betting on this last NFL Sunday of the 2023 season, see you in the playoffs.

Griff Bordignon

Hi, my name is Griff and I'm a complete sports nut. I love to play sports, watch sports and most importantly bet on sports too. If I'm not watching or betting on sports, you can find me on the golf course, between the pipes as your average beer league goaltender. Although sports take up most of my life, I also love spending time with my two dogs, streaming usually a 90's Simpson's or attempting to read more books.

Related stories