If you’re laughing at Pierre Poilievre cosplaying as a wannabe PM while watching his seemingly insurmountable lead in the polls evaporate, get in line.

The polls have turned in the last couple of weeks, as the Conservative lead collapses, in no small part because, despite a few moments like this, Poilievre reminds Canadians a lot of Trump, and to be polite as I can, we pretty much hate Trump. pic.twitter.com/WCY9gUcsn5

— Paul Andrew Kimball 🇨🇦 (@paulkimballfilm) February 12, 2025

Canada’s political landscape is shifting rapidly, and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre finds himself at the epicenter of a dramatic collapse in public support. Recent polling from leading firms—Leger, EKOS, Main Street, Nanos, and Pallas—paints a stark picture of a free-fall campaign, while former central banker Mark Carney emerges as a beacon of stability. Here’s the breakdown of Poilievre’s unraveling and why Canadians adopt a new leadership style.

The Polling Free Fall: By the Numbers

Leger (June 2024): The Conservatives’ national approval rating has plummeted to 29%, down from 34% in March, while the Liberals’ approval rating has clawed back to 31%. Poilievre’s approval rating is a dismal 28%, and Liberal leadership contender Mark Carney’s is 45%.

– EKOS: A dead heat at 28% CPC vs. 30% Liberals, with Poilievre’s “populist rhetoric” cited as a growing liability.

– Main Street: CPC support slips to 31%, with a notable 5-point drop in Ontario, a critical battleground where Liberals under Carney are ahead by as much as 8 points.

– Nanos: Liberals lead 32% to 30%, reversing Poilievre’s 2023 momentum.

– Pallas Data: Only 27% of Canadians view Poilievre as “Prime Minister material,” compared to 45% for Trudeau and 52% for Carney.

Why Poilievre is Crumbling

1. Trump’s Authoritarian Shadow Looms Large

Poilievre’s alignment with Trump-style politics has backfired. From echoing anti-establishment grievances to downplaying climate science, his rhetoric mirrors the U.S. MAGA playbook—a toxic association for many Canadians. Recent Trumpian threats to “taper Canada into the 51st state” over trade and NATO spending, amplified by Elon Musk and conspiracy theorist Alex Jones’ endorsements of Poilievre, have sparked fears of annexation and eroded his credibility.

🚨Silver Linings: Canada Needs To Thank Trump For Uniting Us All – So Does Mark Carney… https://t.co/LMcj9OEzI8

— Dean Blundell🇨🇦 (@ItsDeanBlundell) February 11, 2025

2. Reliance on Trudeau-Bashing Backfires 

Poilievre’s strategy hinged on hammering Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s unpopularity. However, as Trudeau’s approval stabilizes (now at 38%), Poilievre’s lack of substantive policy and overreliance on slogans like “Axe the Tax” leave him adrift. Voters increasingly ask: What’s his plan beyond attacking Trudeau? Mocking Mark Carney’s footwear and doing fake press conferences in the Arctic promising to cut all federal AID promoting Canada’s reputation and National Interests in favor of building a fake military base in the Arctic.

Nice to see the younger generation coming around to “shit ass” Pierre Poilievre being a hollow performative moron who should never be allowed near levers of power.

The kids are alright. 🇨🇦

pic.twitter.com/rcWUtQIYmY

— Dean Blundell🇨🇦 (@ItsDeanBlundell) February 11, 2025

3. The “Teemu Trump” Factor

Dubbed “Teemu Trump” (a nod to his Trump-lite persona), Poilievre faces backlash for stoking division. His attacks on “woke” policies and ties to far-right figures alienate moderates. Recent protests at his rallies, where supporters echoed MAGA chants, have cemented his image as a polarizer, not a unifier. Poilievre also refuses to criticize Trump/MAGA by name because he works with Trump’s inner circle on anti-Canada, pro-MAGA conservative ops and messaging.

He refuses to get his NatSec background check for a reason: kids.

Mark Carney: The Anti-Poilievre

Enter Mark Carney, the former Governor of the Bank of Canada (2008–2013) and the Bank of England (2013–2020). With a resume that boasts crisis management (the 2008 financial crash), climate advocacy (UN Special Envoy for Climate Action), and a reputation for nonpartisan pragmatism, Carney’s quiet rise has captivated Canadians weary of partisan theatrics.

Why Carney Resonates:

– Experience: Steered Canada’s economy through the Great Recession; reformed global banking post-2008.

– Climate Cred: Architect of sustainable finance initiatives, aligning with Canada’s green priorities.

– Non-Partisan Appeal: Refuses to align with any party, vowing to “stand for evidence, not ideology.” Billionaires like Carney and Billionaires only care about their billions – Carney appeals to that crowd who hate Trudeau and joined Pierre because he licks their boots.

– He’s no Trudeau: as hard as PeePee tries to tie Carney to Trudeau, Canadians know they are different people, and Carney doesn’t have the festering 9-year Trudeau stank following him around. He’s an adult. Not a performative politician like PeePee or JT.

Polls show Carney trouncing Poilievre head-to-head (48%–34%) and even outpacing Trudeau. His “calm adult in the room” demeanor contrasts sharply with Poilievre’s bombast, resonating in battleground suburbs and with younger voters.

Carney’s Coronation?

Analysts predict a Carney-led movement could redraw Canada’s political map. His potential coalition spans centrist Liberals, moderate Conservatives, and disillusioned NDP voters. Meanwhile, Poilievre’s MAGA-adjacent brand risks relegating the CPC to a regional rump party, dominant only in the Prairies.

Canadians are rejecting Poilievre’s divisive cosplay and Trumpian mimicry. In Mark Carney, they see a leader who transcends tired partisan fights—a technocrat with the chops to navigate global crises while restoring Canada’s reputation. Poilievre’s collapse isn’t just a polling blip; it’s a rejection of imported extremism. As one voter quipped, “We don’t need a Canadian Trump. We need a Canadian solution.”